Prospect Review – Michael Pineda – P – SEA


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Seattle PI.Com Profile

The Basics
Bats: Right
Throws: Right
How Acquired: International Free Agent (2006)
Age: 21

Statistics

2008 – Wisconsin (Midwest League – Mariners A) – 26 games

  • 8-6, 1.95 era
  • 21 starts, 138.3 IP
  • 128 K/35 BB
  • 2.87 FIP, .280 BABIP

2009 – High Desert (California League – Mariners High A ) – 10 games

  • 4-2, 2.84 era
  • 8 starts, 44.3 IP
  • 48 K/6 BB
  • 2.73 FIP, .252 BABIP

Prospect Rankings
Baseball America – #10 (SEA-2009)
Project Prospect -#167 (Overall-2009)
Baseball Prospectus – Unranked (SEA – 2009)
John Sickels – #5 (SEA-2009)

Analysis

Pineda posted a very strong campaign in 2008, as an 18-year-old in the Midwest League. Compiling an 8-6 record with a 2.87 FIP and 1.95 ERA, he looked destined to continue his excellent performance in 2009. However, an elbow injury derailed him for a majority of the season, and was only able to pitch about 30% of the season in 2009. Despite this, he built on his performance in the Midwest League with another strong showing, this time in the hitter friendly California League.

The key to Pineda seems to be his excellent control. In 44 1/3 innings in 2009, he only walked 6 batters, while striking out 48. This really bodes well for his continued success in my opinion. Pineda throws a low 90′s fastball, and also has an above-average slider and changeup as well. He also appears to be very confident in his ability to throw all 3 of these pitches.

I find it very interesting that he really has not been on the receiving end of any high rankings, only receiving a ranking even as high as #5 once (Sickels). Granted that he is extremely young still, and is probably 2-3 years away at best, I still really like the control he has already shown at 2 different levels.  I think that when some of the major websites bring out their rankings for the 2010 season, Pineda will jump on the Mariners lists. This will be partially due to his skills and stats, but will also be helped by the thinning out of the system from the Cliff Lee trade.

Outlook

While he is still very young, I really like Pineda and think that his future is really bright. I am really looking forward to seeing what he can do next season, having recovered from his injury at this point. I think that he is going to at least start next season back at High-A High Desert, and could very well see some time in AA by mid-season.

Prediction for 2010

8-5, 2.70 era, 150 k/35 bb

Expected ETA

2012. Possibly late season 2011, but 2012 will be when he sticks.

Tomorrow’s Prospect Review – Buster Posey (C) – SF

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4 responses to “Prospect Review – Michael Pineda – P – SEA

  1. Pingback: How Are They Doing So Far? Part 2 « Jason's Baseball Blog

  2. Pingback: Prospect Reviews: Midseason Review – Majors and AAA « Jason's Baseball Blog

  3. Pingback: Weekly Links from the Baseball World | Jason's Baseball Blog

  4. Pingback: Weekly Links from the Baseball World | Baseball Bloggers Alliance

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