Prospect Review – Trevor Reckling – P – LAA


Baseball Reference.Com Profile
Fangraphs Profile

The Basics
Bats: Left
Throws: Left
How Acquired: Drafted in the 8th round of the 2007 Amateur Draft (out of High School)
Age: 20

Statistics

2008 – Cedar Rapids (Midwest League – Angels A) – 26 starts

  • 10-7, 3.37 era, 152 1/3 IP
  • 128 strikeouts, 59 walks
  • .300 BABIP, 3.64 FIP

2009 – Rancho Cucamonga (California League – Angels High-A) – 3 starts

  • 1-2, 0.95 era, 19 innings
  • 16 strikeouts, 3 walks
  • .157 BABIP, 3.36 FIP

2009 – Arkansas (Texas League – Angels AA) – 23 starts

  • 8-7, 2.93 era, 135 1/3 innings
  • 106 strikeouts, 75 walks
  • .293 BABIP, 3.77 FIP

2009 Totals (2 levels)

  • 9-9, 2.68 era, 154 1/3 innings
  • 122 strikeouts, 78 walks

2009 – Team USA – 3 starts

  • 2-0, 0.69 era, 13 IP
  • 14 strikeouts, 5 walks

Rankings
Baseball America – #4 (LAA – 2009)
Baseball Prospectus – #4 (LAA – 2010) – 4 star
Project Prospect – #159 (Overall – 3/2009)
John Sickels – #3 (LAA – 2010) – B+

Analysis

Reckling successfully made the jump from Single A in 2008 to AA in 2009. He posted a 2.68 era with 122 strikeouts and 78 walks over 154 1/3 innings pitched between two levels in 2009, despite his young age (only 19 when he was called to AA).

Reckling’s control is a bit of a concern to me, as his walk total ballooned to almost 5 per 9 innings last season. He finished the season with 11 straight starts of 5+ innings where he walked at least 2 batters. Granted that he was extremely young or his level, and the hope would be that this trend will reverse itself in 2010.

His delivery (seen here) is an over-the-top style, and appears to be fairly violent. I would be concerned about this going forward, as his risk for injury would appear high based on this. His inning total was fairly similar, although still a bit high for his age. He finished the season with approximately 170 innings pitched, a slight increase over his 2008 total. Something to be watched going into 2010.

Reckling throws a high 80′s fastball, a very good 12-6 curveball, and a changeup as well. He appears to get it done more on being able to mix his pitch selection very well. Over time his ability to locate his pitches is going to be critical to his success, as his fastball is not currently likely to overpower anyone.

Outlook

Reckling remains a top prospect in the Angels’ system, and despite being very young for his level, is very advanced in my opinion. Partially moved forward due to a lack of organizational depth, Reckling has performed reasonably well at these advanced levels so far. I would expect him to start the season at AA Arkansas again, and could very well get a promotion to AAA Salt Lake City by no later than mid-season if he improves his control issues of 2009.

Prediction for 2010

11 – 8, 3.35 era, 170 innings pitched, 155 strikeouts, 55 walks

Expected ETA

2011. Possibly out of Spring Training, but more likely a mid-season call up.

Friday’s Prospect for Review: Christian Friedrich (P) of the Colorado Rockies


About these ads

2 responses to “Prospect Review – Trevor Reckling – P – LAA

  1. Pingback: How are They Doing So Far? part 1 « Jason's Baseball Blog

  2. Pingback: Prospect Reviews: Midseason Review – AA, High-A, and Low-A « Jason's Baseball Blog

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s