Prospect Review – A.J. Pollock – OF – ARI


Baseball Reference.Com Profile
Fangraphs Profile

The Basics
Bats: Right
Throws: Right
How Acquired: Drafted in the 1st round (#17) of the 2009 Amateur Draft by the Arizona Diamondbacks
Age: 22

Statistics

2009 – South Bend (Midwest League – D’backs A) – 63 games

  • .271/.319/.376
  • 3 HR, 22 RBI, 10 stolen bases
  • 16 walks, 36 strikeouts
  • .306 BABIP

Rankings
Baseball America – #3 (ARI – 2010)
Baseball Prospectus – #5 (ARI – 2010) – 3 star
John Sickels – #4 (ARI – 2010) – B-

Analysis

Pollock was drafted in the 1st round of the ’09 draft out of the University of Notre Dame. During his time at the University, he was a well-rounded hitter, posting a .365/.445/.610 line with 10 homers and 21 stolen bases in only 55 games. The Diamondbacks responded by leaving him to play in South Bend, where he posted a respectable .271/.309/.376 line.

Pollock appears to have solid speed, posting double-digit stolen bases in each of his college seasons, as well as his first pro season. I can see him being a 25-40 stolen base threat in the Major Leagues potentially.

He also has very good plate discipline, walking more than he struck out each season in college. He didn’t quite translate that skill at South Bend, but should improve on that next season.

I don’t foresee him having a lot of power in the Majors, as he’s never really shown a lot of power. I could see him having line-drive power, which may eventually translate into some type of home run power, but probably not until he’s 26-27 at the soonest, if ever. But he could definitely end up as a double-digit homerun hitter in the Majors, which paired with 25+ stolen bases and a .275 average, would definitely make a solid Major League center fielder.

Outlook

He is profiling as a leadoff hitting center fielder to me, or possibly a #2 hitter depending on who is at the top of the order. I don’t foresee him being elite at anything really in the Majors, but I can definitely see him being a solid regular for a long time. The Diamondbacks can really take their time on him, as all 3 of their regular Major League outfielders are all still fairly young (Justin Upton, Chris Young, Conor Jackson). I would imagine he will start next season at the Diamondbacks High-A affiliate, with possibly a promotion to AA later on in the season if he performs well.

Prediction for 2010

.290/.365/.420, 10 homeruns, 25 stolen bases (High-A)

Expected ETA

2013. Maybe 2012 if he advances through the minors faster than a level per season.

Monday’s Prospect for Review: Martin Perez (P) of the Texas Rangers

About these ads

One response to “Prospect Review – A.J. Pollock – OF – ARI

  1. Pingback: Prospect Reviews: Midseason Review – AA, High-A, and Low-A « Jason's Baseball Blog

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s