Prospect Review – Domonic Brown – OF – PHI


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The Basics
Bats: Left
Throws: Left
How Acquired: Drafted in the 20th round of the 2006 Amateur Draft by the Philles
Age: 22

Statistics

2009 – Gulf Coast Phillies (GCL Rookie League – Rehab Assignment) – 3 games

  • .500/.583/.900
  • 2 triples
  • 1 walk, 1 strikeout

2009 – Clearwater (Florida State League – Phillies High A) – 66 games

  • .303/.386/.517
  • 11 HR, 44 RBI, 15 stolen bases
  • 34 walks, 48 strikeouts

2009 – Reading (Eastern League – Phillies AA) – 37 games

  • .279/.346/.456
  • 3 HR, 20 RBI, 6 stolen bases
  • 14 walks, 37 strikeouts

2009 Totals (3 levels, 106 games)

  • .299/.377/.504
  • 14 HR, 64 RBI, 21 stolen bases
  • 49 walks, 86 strikeouts

Rankings
Baseball America – #1 (PHI – 2010)
Baseball Prospectus – #7 (PHI – 2009) – 3 star
John Sickels – #1 (PHI – 2010) – B+

Analysis

Brown started his 2009 season in Clearwater (High-A) and really hit up a storm. He posted a .303/.386/.517 line with 11 homeruns, 44 RBI and 15 stolen bases. He spent 3 games down with the Phillies’ Gulf Coast League team, rehabbing from a broken finger he suffered in early June. He missed the better portion of a month with the injury, but came back strong, posting a .333/.435/.456 line in July after the injury. Shortly thereafter, he was promoted to AA Reading, where he started on a tear (.301/.356/.513 in August).

Brown projects as a 5-tool outfielder, having good speed, good plate discipline, and should develop some more power as he matures. I wanted to take a little more in-depth look at his stats, as they appear to be pretty solid, but not stunningly amazing. He’s a left-handed hitter, so how do his LH/RH splits look?

For the 2009 season:

vs LHP (128 AB): .313/.386/.547, 5 HR, 15 walks, 22 strikeouts
vs RHP (271 AB): .292/.371/.468, 8 HR, 34 walks, 66 strikeouts

If Brown were holding true to the generally accepted ideas, he would have hit much worse against left-handed pitchers than right-handed ones. However, he hit for a better average, better power, and had better plate discipline against lefties during the season. And while he did hit better against lefties than righties, it wasn’t like he really struggled against righties either. These numbers bode well for him to have continued success as he progresses through the minors.

Outlook

Brown missed some developmental time last season with that finger injury, and should start next season back at AA Reading. Hopefully, the Phillies will not try to rush him through to AAA, as he could really use a majority of the season refining his game. Thankfully, the Phillies have 3 excellent outfielders that are under contract through 2010, and only Jayson Werth is not under contract for 2011. He looks like is going to be a very good outfielder and hitter when he gets to the Majors, and should give them a potential 20/20 hitter every season.

Projection for 2010

.290/.375/.500, 17 HR, 75 RBI, 25 stolen bases (AA)

Expected ETA

If they are patient, Brown should make the Majors some time during the 2011 season. If Jayson Werth leaves via free agency after the 2010 season, though, we may see Brown in Philadelphia at the beginning of the 2011 season.

Tomorrow’s Prospect for Review: Dan Hudson (P) of the Chicago White Sox

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5 responses to “Prospect Review – Domonic Brown – OF – PHI

  1. Brown is an outstanding prospect, but he’s also extremely raw with the swing and his defense in the outfield. I want to see if he can refine his tools. I’m curious, if you could have just one, would you take Domonic Brown or Michael Taylor?

  2. In a fantasy league I am in, I actually had both options to draft in our minor league portion, and I took Taylor. My main reason for that though was because that league has you represent a Major League team (partially anyway) – and I’ve been debating a switch to the A’s. I do think they’re both pretty close to each other.

    The other thing that I like about Taylor is that he went to Stanford. No evidence to suggest that he’s better because of it, but I do like the idea that he’s not a complete moron to boot.

  3. Haha, yeah. Hitting-wise, some don’t like the Stanford pedigree (they teach all their hitters an inside-out swing or something to that effect), but I certainly agree that the intelligence and makeup aspects are pluses for Taylor. It’s close, but I’d probably go with Taylor.

  4. Pingback: How Are They Doing So Far? Part 2 « Jason's Baseball Blog

  5. Pingback: Prospect Reviews: Midseason Review – Majors and AAA « Jason's Baseball Blog

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