Prospect Review – Jean Segura


The Basics
Bats: Right
Throws: Right
How Acquired: International Free Agent Signee by the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim out of the Dominican Republic
Age as of 4/1/11: 21

Scouting Reports and Statistics
The Baseball Cube

Tm               Lg Lev   G  R HR RBI SB BB SO   BA  OBP  SLG
Cedar Rapids   MIDW   A 130 89 10  79 50 45 72 .313 .365 .464

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 1/18/2011.
Prospect Ranks
Hardball Times: #4 (LAA – 2011)
Deep Leagues: #70 (Overall-  2011), #6 (2B – 2011)
Bullpen Banter: #5 (2B – 2011)
Baseball America: #3 (LAA – 2011)
John Sickels: #3 (LAA – 2011) B
Baseball Prospectus: #2 (LAA – 2011), 5 star
Scouting Book: #2 (2B – 2011), #55 (Overall – 2011)
Top Prospect Alert: #3 (LAA – 2011)

Analysis

Segura was signed by the Angels out of the Dominican Republic, and really rocketed up the prospect charts in 2010. 2010 was his first full length season, and really shined, posting a .313/.365/.464 line with 46 extra base hits, 79 runs batted in, 89 runs scored, and 50 stolen bases. His plate discipline was solid, as he posted a 7.7% walk rate and a 14% strikeout rate. Not amazing numbers, but definitely solid, especially for a 20 year old in the Midwest League.

Here’s what Keith Law had to say about Segura prior to the start of the 2010 season:

Segura has outstanding bat control and a good line-drive swing path, but his back side collapses completely and he gets on top of a lot of balls he should be driving to the outfield. He’s an above-average runner but is still a poor defender at second, and he’s had some trouble staying on the field, but assuming he gets a full season in this year and the Angels can work on keeping him upright through his swing, he has the potential to at least hit for high batting averages as he moves up the ladder.

The impression I have been getting from some of the other scouting reports is that Segura may actually be able to move to shortstop, and thrive there as well. Either way, if he can stay at a middle infield position, his bat could be one of the best at the position by the time it reaches the Majors.

The speed he showed at Low A is very, very nice, but I will be interested to see if he can repeat that performance at the next level. He saw a spike in his stolen base opportunity % from 31% in 2009 to 36% in 2010, but was still down from his first professional season where he had 44%.

2010 was also the first season Segura was able to stay healthy the whole way through, as he had suffered injuries in both 2008 and 2009. I imagine he’s going to start the season in 2011 at either a High-A affiliate or possibly even in AA. Either of which could still have him as one of the younger players in the league.

Outlook

Segura looks to me like he has the potential to be a very, very good player for the Angels. That said, he has shown flashes in 3 previous seasons, but really put it together last year. I want to see how he performs in 2011, as he could very well vault into the top 25 of prospects in the league with another strong performance. He appears to have solid power potential, as well as excellent speed. If he can keep up the performance he showed in low-A, he could be a very special player.

Prediction for 2011

 .285/.340/.430, 8 HR, 35 SB (A+)

Expected ETA

I imagine that if he continues at the current rate, he will end 2011 in AA, and could see a call up to the Majors by the end of 2012. 2013 seems a lot more likely, and the fact that is the Angels does give me a slight pause as they have been known to not play prospects when they are necessarily ready.

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One response to “Prospect Review – Jean Segura

  1. Pingback: Caught Looking 1/21 | Baseball Bloggers Alliance

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