Prospect Review – Nick Castellanos


The next prospect up for review is Nick Castellanos of the Detroit Tigers

The Basics
Bats: Right
Throws: Right
How Acquired: Drafted by the Detroit Tigers in the first round (44th overall) of the 2010 amateur draft.
Age as of 4/1/11: 19

Scouting Reports and Statistics

The Baseball Cube

Year     Lg Lev G R H 2B RBI SB BB SO   BA  OBP  SLG  OPS
2010   GULF  Rk 7 5 8  2   3  0  4  5 .333 .414 .417 .830

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 2/2/2011.

Prospect Ranks
Hardball Times: #3 (DET – 2011)
Deep Leagues: #111 (Overall –  2011), #5 (3B – 2011)
Bullpen Banter: #5 (3B – 2011)
MLB.COM: #10 (3B – 2011)
Baseball America: #2 (DET – 2011)
John Sickels: #2 (PHI – 2011) B
Baseball Prospectus: #2 (DET – 2011) 4 star
Scouting Book: #8 (3B – 2011), #75 (Overall – 2011)
Top Prospect Alert: #2 (DET – 2011)

Analysis

Castellanos was drafted out of high school by the Tigers in the supplemental first round of the 2010 draft. He agreed to a contract right at the signing deadline in August, and received a $3.45 million signing bonus. He’s another player who didn’t get into very many games during the 2010 season due to signing late, but he did manage to get 8 hits, including 2 doubles, in his 7 games in Rookie ball. The scouting reports about Castellanos rave about his potential to be an excellent player.

From Andy Seiler’s draft report:

Castellanos is as good as you’re going to get for a smooth power-hitter this year. He features one of the prettiest swings from the right side of the plate, and it projects for plus power and plus hitting. He also features average speed, sometimes better, depending on the day you see him. He should stick as a fringe-average runner in the long run once he fills out. Defense is the questionable side of his game. He features an above-average arm that should be just fine for third, but he has a slow release and fringe-average lateral range at times, along with below-average instincts off the bat. He has the raw tools to be a solid third baseman, but there’s some question about his ability to adjust there, as some think he’ll be a liability.

From Baseball Beginnings’ Pre-Draft Scouting Report:

With great hands and an what other players describe as an effortless swing, Castellanos shows the ability to let pitches get deep before going to center and right-center field with power. Defensively, he shows enough balance and athleticism to give him a chance to develop at third as a pro. Arm strength and running are adequate but do not project to be below-average.

Castellanos appears to be another steal for the Tigers at this draft spot, as he had been committed to the University of Miami, and received the 5th highest bonus in the 2010 draft despite being drafted 44th overall. He sounds like he is going to be an excellent hitter, with the potential to be at least solid at 3B in the majors. He is still very young (just 19 to start 2011), but the Tigers have been known to move prospects through their system very quickly. I want to see a full season of stats out of him, but I like what I’ve been reading to this point.

Outlook

I honestly would be shocked if the Tigers moved him too fast, but I could see him start 2011 in Low-A. He has only played 7 games as a professional to this point, and will probably need a decent amount of time at that level before moving to either a High-A or AA affiliate.

Prediction for 2011

.275, 12HR, 65 RBI (Low-A)

Expected ETA

His path of progression seems like he will spend 2011 in Low-A, with 2012 having the possibility of a split between High-A and AA. Based on that progression, I think we could see Castellanos in Detroit in either 2014 or 2015. He’ll be just 23 years old in 2015, and could be there a long time potentially.

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