Tag Archives: Carl Pavano

Season Preview: AL Central


With Spring Training well under way and the first games already in the books, I figured it was a good time to take a look at my own predictions for the league, and the changes the respective teams have made. Today’s group is the American League Central.

Last Year’s Records
Minnesota – 94-68
Chicago – 88-74
Detroit – 81-81
Cleveland – 69-93
Kansas City – 67-95

Notable Additions

Chicago – Adam Dunn, Lastings Milledge

Cleveland – Orlando Cabrera

Detroit – Victor Martinez, Brad Penny, Joaquin Benoit

Kansas City – Alcides Escobar, Lorenzo Cain, Jeff Francoeur, Melky Cabrera, Vin Mazzaro

Minnesota – Tsuyoshi Nishioka

Notable Losses

Chicago – Andruw Jones, Manny Ramirez, Freddy Garcia, J.J. Putz, Bobby Jenks, Scott Linebrink

Cleveland – NONE

Detroit – Johnny Damon, Jeremy Bonderman, Gerald Laird, Armando Galarraga

Kansas City – Zack Greinke, David DeJesus, Brian Bannister, Gil Meche

Minnesota – J.J. Hardy, Orlando Hudson, Brendan Harris, Jon Rauch, Brian Fuentes

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Free Agent Review – Cliff Lee to the Phillies


Wow. That’s pretty much all I can say.

With the news overnight that there may have been as much as $50 million left on the table by one Clifton Phifer Lee, it has been a complete shock to see that Cliff Lee has agreed to sign with the Phillies. The terms appear to be for 5 years, $115 million dollars, with an option for a 6th year that might be reasonably achievable.

From the Phillies Perspective

Honestly, I’m not sure I understand this entirely. Clearly, Lee is more than $10 M better than Joe Blanton ($20M salary for Lee, $10.5M for Blanton), but this seems a bit excessive. Adding Lee now brings them a 4th ace to go with Halladay, Hamels and Oswalt for next season. The part that could really kill the Phillies long term is the amount of money they have tied up. The Phillies will most likely have the highest payroll of any team not playing in the Bronx next year, and have a ton of money committed to their roster already for 2012, 2013, and 2014.

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Fantasy Rankings in Review – Starting Pitchers


Back in February, I took my first shot at attempting to rank players for fantasy purposes. After a full season, I thought it wise to take a look back at how they went, and compare them to how it actually turned out and see if there is anything to be gained from it. You can find my preseason rankings here and here. Next up is the review of my SP rankings.

Yahoo’s Final Rankings (Top 25)

1.     Roy Halladay
2.     Adam Wainwright
3.     Felix Hernandez
4.     Roy Oswalt
5.     Ubaldo Jimenez
6.     Jered Weaver
7.     David Price
8.     Josh Johnson
9.     Cliff Lee
10.  Mat Latos
11.  C.C. Sabathia
12.  Jon Lester
13.  Justin Verlander
14.  Matt Cain
15.  Tim Hudson
16.  Clayton Kershaw
17.  Trevor Cahill
18.  Clay Buchholz
19.  Cole Hamels
20.  Chris Carpenter
21.  Jonathan Sanchez
22.  Tim Lincecum
23.  Brett Myers
24.  Johan Santana
25.  Ted Lilly

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Original Draft Series: #10 – Boston Red Sox


For those that missed the guidelines I am using for this series of posts, you can find them here.

Team #10: Boston Red Sox

General Managers(since 1994)

Dan Duquette (1994-2001): 656-574
Mike Port (2002): 93-69
Theo Epstein (2003-Current): 660-474

Team Performance

Playoffs Division Finish
WC League Playoff App 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Last
2 2 9 2 10 2 2 0

All information is drawn from Baseball Reference.

Position Name Acquired Years with Org.
Stats with Organization
Left?
C Kelly Shoppach 2001 – 2nd Rd 4 9 gm, 0-15 Traded to CLE – 1/27/06
1B Kevin Youkilis 2001 – 8th Rd 9 2 All Star Appearances, 1 Gold Glove
.294/.394/.497, 112 HR, 470 RBI, 23 SB
Currently with Org.
2B Dustin Pedroia
2004 – 2nd Rd 6 2007 AL Rookie of the Year, 2008 AL MVP, 3 All Star-Appearances
554 gm, .305/.370/.461, 54 HR, 253 RBI, 55 SB
Currently with Org.
3B Freddy Sanchez 2000 – 11th Rd 3 32 gm, .220/.250/.260, 4 RBI Traded to PIT – 7/31/03
SS Hanley Ramirez Int’l FA – 2000 5 2 gm, 0-2 Traded to FLA – 11/24/05
LF David Murphy 2003 – 1st Rd (17) 4 23 gm, .250/.357/.500, HR, 2 RBI Traded to TEX – 7/31/07
CF Jacoby Ellsbury 2005 – 1st Rd (23) 5 349 gm, .291/.344/.405, 20 HR, 130 RBI, 136 SB Currently with Org.
RF Josh Reddick 2006 – 17th Rd 4 38 gm, .167/.205/.321, 2 HR, 6 RBI, SB Currently with Org.
DH Ryan Kalish 2006 – 9th Rd 4 12 gm, .300/.326/.400, HR, 4 RBI, SB Currently with Org.
SP Jon Lester 2002 – 2nd Rd 8 1 All-Star Appearance
54-23, 3.51 ERA, 711 IP, 647 K, 259 BB, 1.295 WHIP
Currently with Org.
SP Carl Pavano 1994 – 13th Rd 3 No Major League Appearances with Org. Traded to MON – 11/18/97
SP Daisuke Matsuzaka Int’l FA – 2007 3 45-24, 4.02 ERA, 535 IP, 496 K, 253 BB, 1.387 WHIP Currently with Org.
SP Clay Buchholz 2005 – 1st Rd (42) 5 1 All Star Appearance
25-19, 3.95 ERA, 317 IP, 248 K, 135 BB, 1.379 WHIP
Currently with Org.
SP Justin Masterson 2006 – 2nd Rd 3 9-8, 3.76 ERA, 160.1 IP, 135 K, 65 BB, 1.279 WHIP Traded to CLE – 7/31/09
RP Manny Delcarmen 2000 – 2nd Rd 10 11-6, 3.83 ERA, 282 IP, 242 K, 127 BB, 1.348 WHIP Currently with Org.
RP Frank Francisco Int’l FA – 1996 6 No Major League Appearances with Org. Traded to CHW – 7/31/02
RP Ron Mahay 1991 – 18th Rd 7 4-1, 3.00 ERA, SV, 51 IP, 36 K, 26 BB Selected by OAK – 3/30/99
RP Rafael Betancourt Int’l FA – 1993 6 No Major League Appearances with Org. Released – 11/18/99
RP Daniel Bard 2006 – 1st Rd (28) 4 3-4, 2.80 ERA, 4 SV, 103 IP, 120 K, 40 BB, 1.087 WHIP Currently with Org.
CL Jonathan Papelbon 2003 – 4th Rd 7 4 All Star Appearances
18-16, 2.04 ERA, 348.2 IP, 392 K, 97 BB, 1.004 WHIP
Currently with Org.
BN David Eckstein
1997 – 19th Rd 3 No Major League Appearances with Org. Selected by ANA – 8/16/00
BN Hideki Okajima Int’l FA – 2006 4 16-7, 3.17 ERA, 6 SV, 224.1 IP, 200 K, 76 BB, 1.248 WHIP Currently with Org.
BN Anibal Sanchez Int’l FA – 2001 4 No Major League Appearances with Org. Traded to FLA – 11/24/05
BN Jeff Suppan 1993 – 2nd Rd 5+1 12-10, 5.87 ERA, 220.2 IP, 131 K, 74 BB, 1.55 WHIP Taken in the Expansion Draft – 1997
BN Cla Meredith 2004 – 6th Rd 2 3 gm, 2.1 IP, 27.00 ERA Traded to SD – 5/1/06

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Team Preview – Minnesota Twins


Roster Makeup
Lineup Pitching Staff
Pos Name Role Name
C Joe Mauer SP 1 Scott Baker
1B Justin Morneau SP 2 Carl Pavano
2B Orlando Hudson SP 3 Nick Blackburn
3B Nick Punto SP 4 Kevin Slowey
SS J.J. Hardy SP 5 Francisco Liriano
LF Delmon Young Bullpen
CF Denard Span CL Joe Nathan
RF Michael Cuddyer RP Matt Guerrier
DH Jason Kubel RP Jose Mijares
Bench RP Jesse Crain
DH Jim Thome RP Jon Rauch
IF Brian Buscher RP Clay Condrey

Additional roster information can be found at MLB Depth Charts.

Off-Season Transactions
Key Additions Key Losses
Pos Name How Pos Name How
SS J.J Hardy Trade (MIL) CF Carlos Gomez Trade (MIL)
2B Orlando Hudson Free Agency SS Orlando Cabrera Free Agency
DH Jim Thome Free Agency C Mike Redmond Free Agency

Top Prospects: Aaron Hicks (OF), Ben Revere (OF), Carlos Gutierrez (P), Wilson Ramos (C), Danny Valencia (3B)

2009 Review

The Twins had a pretty good season in 2009, posting an 87-76 record en route to an AL Central division title. They spent the month of April without their all-star backstop, Joe Mauer. Not that you could necessarily tell, since he posted a career year. Mauer won the AL batting title with a .365 batting average, hit a career high 28 homers, and drove in 96 runs en route to winning the AL most valuable player award as well. The Twins were also led on offense by RF Michael Cuddyer (32 HR, 94 RBI), DH Jason Kubel (28 HR, 103 RBI), and CF Denard Span (.311, 23 SB). 1B Justin Morneau had a solid year as well (30 HR, 100 RBI), although not necessarily quite to the standard of his MVP season.

The starting rotation was a complete mixed bag last season, as they only got 200+ innings from Scott Baker and Nick Blackburn. Late season additions to the rotation of Carl Pavano and Brian Duensing both helped the Twins stay in the race until they finally caught the Tigers during the last weekend of the season. The bullpen pitched extremely well last season, with Joe Nathan (47 sv, 2.10 ERA), Matt Guerrier (5-1, 2.36 ERA), and Jose Mijares (2-2, 2.34 ERA) all posting excellent seasons in relief.

The Twins won the play-in game against the Tigers, but unfortunately were no match for the eventual World Champion New York Yankees. They were swept in 3 games by the Yankees.

Team Outlook for 2010

As has become the standard for the Twins, they didn’t make a lot of flashy moves this offseason, but did make some excellent moves which will help to improve their team for the 2010 season. The trade to acquire SS J.J. Hardy could pay off hugely, as he will likely provide some more power for the Twins, and all it cost them was a player that had essentially been passed on the depth chart. Resigning SP Carl Pavano should also help to bring some stability to a rotation that is sorely in need of it. I particularly like the signing of 2B Orlando Hudson, as it takes a position where the Twins have been weak the past two seasons and brings in a professional hitter who can also provide some solid defense as well.

Unless it gets done during the season, the biggest topic of discussion during the season will be whether or not the Twins can get C Joe Mauer signed to a contract extension. It seems at this point like both sides want to get this done, and that they’re likely to before the season starts. I think it’s really important that they get this done, as Mauer is probably more representative of his organization than practically anyone else in the league right now. Joe Mauer is the face of the franchise for the Twins, and it would be a gigantic hit to the organization if he ends up walking away from the Twins.

The Twins are also moving into a new outdoor stadium at the start of this season. It remains to be seen how it is going to play, but I think that the Twins lose a major home-field advantage that they had with the Metrodome. That roof was the bane of quite a few visiting outfielders’ existence, as the ball would get lost in it on a fairly consistent basis. That said, I think that the Twins still are the class of the AL Central at this point, and should do pretty well in 2010.

Fantasy Outlook for 2010

All sorts of good fantasy players here, with C Joe Mauer leading the way. RF Michael Cuddyer, DH Jason Kubel, RP Joe Nathan, and 1B Justin Morneau will all end up owned in nearly every league. And of course, there is everyone’s favorite high-risk, high-reward starting pitcher in Francisco Liriano. Liriano has been reported that he pitched well at winter ball, but he is a definite buyer-beware type of pitcher for fantasy.

Prediction for 2010

I think that this Twins team is actually better than last year’s version, and remains the class of the AL Central division. I think that barring a huge rash of injuries, the Twins should win the division pretty easily.

87-75, 1st in the AL Central

Free Agency Review – Starting Pitchers


As expected, the free agent class of starting pitchers was pretty deep this offseason, although there were very few solid options.

All salary data from ESPN.com’s Free Agent Tracker
All 2011 free agent information from MLB Trade Rumors’ 2011 Free Agent List

LH Starting Pitchers
Name Old New Years Total $
Randy Wolf LAD MIL 3 $29.75 M
Andy Pettitte NYY NYY 1 $11.75 M
Erik Bedard SEA SEA 1 $1.5 M
Aroldis Chapman CIN 6 $30.25 M
Doug Davis ARI MIL 1 $5.25 M

Notable Remaining Free Agents: Jarrod Washburn (DET)


Of all the lefties, Randy Wolf probably did the best in terms of capitalizing on a good season. Milwaukee got a very good veteran starting pitcher for a reasonable price. Bedard signed an incentive-laden deal which could be worth up to $8.5 M total, and if he earns them all, the Mariners will be extremely happy with the results as well. The most unusual signing in my opinion was the Chapman signing. The Reds, not known for spending a lot of money necessarily, sign a pitcher who will be under contract for 6 seasons, and be paying him for as much as 10 perhaps, and will hopefully not be starting his career in the Major leagues.

RH Starting Pitchers
Name Old New Years Total $
Rich Harden CHC TEX 1 $7.5 M
John Lackey LAA BOS 5 $82.5 M
Brad Penny SF STL 1 $7.5 M
Joel Pineiro STL LAA 2 $16 M
Justin Duchscherer OAK OAK 1 $2 M
Ben Sheets OAK 1 $10 M
Jon Garland LAD SD 1 $5.3 M
Colby Lewis JPN TEX 2 $5 M
Jason Marquis COL WAS 2 $15 M
Vicente Padilla LAD LAD 1 $5.025 M
Carl Pavano MIN MIN 1 $7 M

Notable Remaining Free Agents: Braden Looper (MIL), Todd Wellemeyer (STL), John Smoltz (STL), Pedro Martinez (PHI)

Lackey was the big name on the market this offseason, and got the big contract that went along with it. I was a bit surprised at the time about this since I didn’t really think that the Red Sox were in the market for a starting pitcher. However, it looks now like he will be the replacement for Josh Beckett should he leave via free agency after 2010. The Angels did well to replace Lackey with Pineiro. Pineiro, while not the same quality pitcher as Lackey, will provide more stability to the rotation being led now by Jered Weaver and Scott Kazmir. Free agency was also littered with high-risk, high-reward types like Harden, Sheets, and Duchscherer. The most interesting signing for a right hander to me is the Rangers’ signing of Colby Lewis. Lewis is returning from 2 seasons in Japan where he was very dominant, and should be interesting to watch this season.

Tomorrow: Free agency review of relief pitchers