Tag Archives: Johnny Cueto

Original Draft Series: #27 – Cincinnati Reds


For those that missed the guidelines I am using for this series of posts, you can find them here.

Team #27: Cincinnati Reds

General Managers(since 1994)

Jim Bowden (1994-2003): 782-776
Dan O’Brien (2004-2005): 149-175
Wayne Krivsky (2006-2008): 226-260
Walt Jocketty (2009-Current): 78-84

Team Performance

Playoffs Division Finish
WC League Playoff App 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th
0 0 2 2 2 4 3 5

Both of the division titles came in 1994-1995, and unfortunately they lost in the 163rd game in 1999 to just miss the playoffs. With those exceptions, the past 15 years has not been particularly good for the Reds. They have had a few really good players who have gone through the organization, but there are still a lot of players that were drafted that are down in the minors. All information is drawn from Baseball Reference.

Position Name Acquired Years with Org.
Stats with Organization
Left?
C Ryan Hanigan Amateur FA – 2002 8 153 gm, .281/.383/.371, 7 HR, 39 RBI, 43 R Currently with Org.
1B Joey Votto 2002 – 2nd Rd 8 365 gm, .309/.391/.537, 66 HR, 226 RBI, 19 SB, 202 R Currently with Org.
2B Justin Turner 2006 – 7th Rd 3 No Major League Appearances with Organization Traded to BAL – 12/9/08
3B Paul Janish 2004 – 5th Rd 6 151 gm, .210/.300/.303, 3 HR, 28 RBI, 2 SB, 45 R Currently with Org.
SS Adam Rosales 2005 – 12th Rd 4 105 gm, .212/.296/.309, 4 HR, 21 RBI, 2 SB, 23 R Traded to OAK – 2/1/10
LF Adam Dunn 1998 – 2nd Rd 10 1 All-Star Appearance
1087 gm, .247/.380/.520, 270 HR, 646 RBI, 58 SB, 678 R
Traded to ARI – 8/11/08
CF Jay Bruce 2005 – 1st Rd (12) 5 274 gm, .246/.319/.462, 52 HR, 139 RBI, 12 SB, 148 R Currently with Org.
RF Austin Kearns 1998 – 1st Rd (7) 7 452 gm., .267/.358/.468, 71 HR, 263 RBI, 20 SB, 248 R Traded to WAS – 7/13/06
SP Johnny Cueto Int’l FA – 2004 6 26-26, 4.59 ERA, 355 K, 152 BB, 423.1 IP, 1.370 WHIP Currently with Org.
SP Mike Leake 2009 – 1st Rd (8) 2 5-0, 2.68 ERA, 52 K, 29 BB, 77.1 IP, 1.358 WHIP Currently with Org.
SP Homer Bailey 2004 – 1st Rd (7) 6 13-15, 5.46 ERA, 173 K, 118 BB, 245.2 IP, 1.583 WHIP Currently with Org.
SP Sam LeCure 2005 – 4th Rd 5 1-3, 3.75 ERA, 16 K, 15 BB, 24 IP, 1.583 WHIP Currently with Org.
SP Dustin Moseley 2000 – 1st Rd (34) 4 No Major League Appearances with Organization Traded to LAA – 12/14/04
RP Jeff Stevens 2005 – 6th Rd 1 No Major League Appearances with Organization Traded to CLE – 6/13/06
RP Enerio del Rosario Int’l FA – 2005 5 1-1, 2.08 ERA, 3 K, 4 BB, 8.2 IP, 1.962 WHIP Currently with Org.
RP Logan Ondrusek 2005 – 13th Rd 5 0-0, 8.10 ERA, 7 K, 6 BB, 13.1 IP, 1.950 WHIP Currently with Org.
RP Carlos Fisher 2005 – 11th Rd 5 2-2, 5.40 ERA, 58 K, 40 BB, 63.1 IP, 1.642 WHIP Currently with Org.
RP Todd Coffey 1998 – 41st Rd 10 12-9, 4.62 ERA, 137 K, 63 BB, 206.1 IP, 1.585 WHIP Selected by MIL – 9/10/08
CL Trevor Hoffman 1989 – 11th Rd 3 No Major League Appearances with Organization Expansion Draft – 11/17/92
BN Chris Dickerson (OF) 2003 – 16th Rd 7 148 gm, .274/.367/.421, 8 HR, 30 RBI, 19 SB, 60 R Currently with Org.
BN Drew Stubbs (OF) 2006 – 1st Rd (8) 4 103 gm, .256/.323/.426, 15 HR, 48 RBI, 23 SB, 62 R Currently with Org.
BN Chris Heisey (OF) 2006 – 17th Rd 4 25 gm, .294/.400/.676, 3 HR, 4 RBI, 9 R Currently with Org.
BN Chris Denorfia (OF) 2002 – 19th Rd 5 67 gm, .278/.358/.382, 2 HR, 9 RBI, 2 SB, 22 R Traded to OAK – 4/27/07
BN Jason LaRue (C) 1995 – 5th Rd 11 715 gm, .239/.325/.415, 84 HR, 303 RBI, 12 SB, 263 R Purchased by KC – 11/20/06
BN Craig Tatum (C) 2004 – 3rd Rd 5 26 gm., .162/.250/.221, 1 HR, 6 RBI, 3 R Selected by BAL – 11/20/09

The Reds have had a little bit of bad luck, as they have generally been good enough to keep out of the top-10 picks in the draft, with only 6 picks in the top-10 in the past 15 years. But the performance on the field has still not been particularly good, and they haven’t had a whole lot of flags to fly for division titles as a result.

June Amateur Draft

Looking at their drafting results, they have had only 20 first round picks in the last 15 drafts (not including 2010). With only 6 picks in the top-10 during those drafts, they haven’t had the access to a lot of the top-tier picks in the first round. That said, they have done reasonably well in finding top players in other rounds, with Adam Dunn and Joey Votto (2nd Round) being the best examples. That said, they missed on quite a few draft picks in the early 2000s, most notably the 2002 3rd overall pick of Chris Gruler. Taken after Gruler at picks 6 and 7: Zack Greinke and Prince Fielder.

International Free Agency

The Reds have been slightly more active than some of the previous teams in the international free agent market, with SP Johnny Cueto being the biggest success story to this point for the team. The most notable signee is one who hasn’t made his Major League debut yet, but is likely to before the end of this season. Down at AAA, Aroldis Chapman, signed out of Cuba, looks like he’s going to be a top-10 prospect before the end of the season, if not at the Major League level by then. With the exception of Cueto and Chapman, however, they have not really seen a whole lot of success to this point. I’m wondering if having Jim Bowden as the GM during the 90’s or Marge Schott as the owner could have caused some of these issues.

Overall Grade

C- would be an apt grade for the Reds in my opinion. They have a lot of hope for the future, with top starting pitchers Homer Bailey, Mike Leake, Johnny Cueto and Aroldis Chapman to help anchor their starting rotation. While the only real star they have developed to this point was Adam Dunn, they have some bright spots in 1B Joey Votto, OF Jay Bruce,  and coming prospects Todd Frazier and Yonder Alonso also provide some hope. Having Walt Jocketty around to run things is likely to help as well.

Advertisements

Team Preview – Cincinnati Reds


Roster Makeup
Lineup Pitching Staff
Pos Name Role Name
C Ramon Hernandez SP 1 Aaron Harang
1B Joey Votto SP 2 Bronson Arroyo
2B Brandon Phillips SP 3 Johnny Cueto
3B Scott Rolen SP 4 Homer Bailey
SS Orlando Cabrera SP 5 Matt Maloney
LF Chris Dickerson Bullpen
CF Drew Stubbs CL Francisco Cordero
RF Jay Bruce RP Nick Masset
Bench RP Arthur Rhodes
IF Aaron Miles RP Jared Burton
OF Jonny Gomes RP Micah Owings

Additional roster information can be found at MLB Depth Charts.

Off-Season Transactions
Key Additions Key Losses
Pos Name How Pos Name How
SP Aroldis Chapman Free Agency CF Willy Taveras Trade (OAK)
SS Orlando Cabrera Free Agency IF Adam Rosales Trade (OAK)

Top Prospects: Aroldis Chapman (P), Yonder Alonso (1B), Todd Frazier (IF), Mike Leake (P)

2009 Review

The Reds finished up 2009 with a 78-84 record, and although the season didn’t end with a winning record, they still had some definite bright spots. 1B Joey Votto posted a .322 batting average with 25 HR and 84 RBI, despite missing almost 30 games due to depression. 2B Brandon Phillips quietly posted another 20-20 season. The rotation was led by Bronson Arroyo (15-13, 3.84 ERA), although there was a lot of inconsistency behind him. Closer Francisco Cordero (39 sv, 2.16 ERA) also had a solid season.

Team Outlook for 2010

The Reds look much improved (even though they didn’t really make too many moves), and I think have the potential to compete in the NL Central in 2010. Their rotation looks good, and I think it could keep them in the race longer if they can get a little bit lucky as well. For this to happen, they need Johnny Cueto and Homer Bailey to really start to live up to their potential. I liked the signing of Orlando Cabrera to bring some veteran presence to a team that is still very young. The biggest signing in the offseason has to be Cuban defector Aroldis Chapman. Chapman has looked lights out so far in Spring Training,  although it was thought at the time of the signing that he wouldn’t start the season higher than AA. But with his performance, he may force his way into the rotation at the start of the season. Joey Votto and Brandon Phillips should continue to lead the offense, and I think that OF Jay Bruce could really start to show more of the promise he had coming into the league.

Fantasy Outlook for 2010

I think Joey Votto is primed for a big season, and think he could easily post a top-10 season at 1B. 2B Brandon Phillips is one of the quietest top fantasy performers in all of baseball, usually in the top 5 of the position. Nearly all of the starting pitchers in the rotation are ownable for deeper leagues, but in standard leagues I would say that they are all right around replacement level. If I had to pick one for upside, it would be Bailey. Aroldis Chapman probably has the most upside of anyone on the team, and is definitely worth monitoring as Spring Training continues.

Prediction for 2010

The Reds are steadily improving, and will hopefully take another step forward this season. I don’t think that they are quite ready though to take on the Cubs and Cardinals. But it won’t be long.

80-82, 4th in the NL Central