Tag Archives: Kyle Blanks

Original Draft Series #24 – San Diego Padres


For those that missed the guidelines I am using for this series of posts, you can find them here.

Team #24: San Diego Padres

General Managers(since 1994)

Randy Smith (1994-1995): 117-144
Kevin Towers (1996-2009): 1108-1161
Jed Hoyer (Current)

Team Performance

Playoffs Division Finish
WC League Playoff App 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th
0 1 5 3 1 3 5 4

The Padres have had some success, including winning the 1998 National League pennant. 5 playoff appearances in 16 seasons isn’t terrible, but there have been some poor seasons as well. Despite 13 seasons with the team, this ended up costing general manager Kevin Towers his job after the 2009 season. All information is drawn from Baseball Reference.

Position Name Acquired Years with Org.
Stats with Organization
Left?
C Nick Hundley 2005 – 2nd Rd 5 181 gm, .250/.314/.405, 18 HR, 78 RBI, 5 SB, 66 R Currently with Org.
1B Derrek Lee 1993 – 1st Rd (14) 4 22 gm, .2569/.365/.370, 1 HR, 4 RBI, 9 R Traded to FLA – 12/15/97
2B Matt Antonelli 2006 – 1st Rd (17) 4 21 gm, .193/.292/.281, 1 HR, 3 RBI, 6 R Currently with Org.
3B David Freese 2006 – 9th Rd 4 81 gm, .308/.368/.432, 5 HR, 40 RBI, SB, 30 R Traded to STL – 12/14/07
SS Jason Bartlett 2001 – 13th Rd 1 No Major League Appearances with Org. Traded to MIN – 7/12/02
LF Gary Matthews Jr. 1993 – 13th Rd 7 23 gm, .222/.378/.222, 7 RBI, 2 SB, 4 R Traded to CHC – 3/23/00
CF Will Venable 2005 – 7th Rd 5 184 gm, .250/.321/.415, 19 HR, 72 RBI, 20 SB, 85 R Currently with Org.
RF Xavier Nady 2000 – 2nd Rd 5 269 gm, .263/.320/.414, 25 HR, 91 RBI, 8 SB, 98 R Traded to NYM – 12/18/05
SP Jake Peavy 1999 – 15th Rd 10 2 All-Star Appearances, 2007 NL Cy Young Award Winner
92-68, 3.29 ERA, 1348 K, 435 BB, 1342.2 IP, 1.186 WHIP
Traded to CHW – 7/31/09
SP Oliver Perez Int’l FA – 1999 4 8-12, 4.51 ERA, 211 K, 113 BB, 193.2 IP, 1.482 WHIP Traded to PIT – 8/26/03
SP Rodrigo Lopez Purchased from Mexican League – 1995 6 0-3, 8.76 ERA, 17 K, 13 BB, 24.2 IP, 2.149 WHIP Free Agency – 10/15/01
SP Mat Latos 2006 – 11th Rd 4 11-9, 3.75 ERA, 110 K, 44 BB, 129.2 IP, 1.111 WHIP Currently with Org.
SP Wade LeBlanc 2006 – 2nd Rd 4 8-8, 3.96 ERA, 88 K, 60 BB, 136.1 IP, 1.445 WHIP Currently with Org.
RP Eddie Bonine 2003 – 23rd Rd 2 No Major League Appearances with Org. Selected by DET – 12/8/05
RP Shaun Camp 1997 – 16th Rd 4 No Major League Appearances with Org. Traded to PIT – 7/10/01
RP Leo Rosales 2003 – 20th Rd 4 No Major League Appearances with Org. Traded to ARI – 7/27/07
RP Tim Stauffer 2003 – 1st Rd (4) 7 10-15, 4.57 ERA, 129 K, 74 BB, 191 IP, 1.429 WHIP Currently with Org.
RP Cesar Ramos 2005 – 1st Rd (35) 5 0-2, 7.45 ERA, 14 K, 6 BB, 19.1 IP, 1.966 WHIP Currently with Org.
CL Ernesto Frieri Int’l FA – 2003 6 2 gm, 2 K, 1 BB, 2 IP, 0.500 WHIP Currently with Org.
BN Chase Headley (3B) 2005 – 2nd Rd 5 323 gm, .262/.332/.388, 25 HR, 124 RBI, 23 SB, 135 R Currently with Org.
BN Kyle Blanks (OF) 2004 – 42nd Rd 6 87 gm, .212/.325/.436, 13 HR, 37 RBI, 2 SB, 38 R Currently with Org.
BN Luis Durango (OF) Int’l FA – 2003 7 15 gm, .458/.519/.458, 2 RBI, 2 SB, 6 R Currently with Org.
BN George Kottaras (C) 2002 – 20th Rd 4 No Major League Appearances with Org. Traded to BOS – 9/5/06
BN Lance Zawadzki (3B) 2007 – 4th Rd 3 20 gm, .200/.300/.257, 1 RBI, 1SB, 4 R Currently with Org.

June Amateur Draft

The Padres have had 29 picks in the first round in the last 15 drafts (not including the 2010 draft), including an eye popping 6 in the 2007 draft. They have gotten some solid players out of the first round, with Derrek Lee being probably the best overall player from that round. Unfortunately, a lot of the players in the first round have been misses, with the most glaring being overall #1 pick in 2004, Matt Bush. Bush was drafted as a signability pick, and among the players that the Padres passed on to draft Bush included Justin Verlander and Jered Weaver. They have gotten some solid values out of later rounds of the draft, including Jake Peavy (15th), Mat Latos (11th), and Kyle Blanks (42nd). Overall, I think that they’ve done reasonably well in the draft, but there are still a lot of players here who are essentially sporting an incomplete for the Padres (Antonelli, Ramos, Frieri, Durango).

International Free Agency

I found essentially 4 international free agents for the team, of which only Oliver Perez really made a particular contribution to the Padres as a whole. While Perez didn’t pitch particularly amazing while he was in San Diego, he was traded by the Padres to the Pirates for OF Brian Giles, a stalwart in the outfield for the Padres for a few seasons. Durango to me seems like he has potential, but unless he can find a way to break into the lineup over the current group of outfielders, I don’t think we’ll see it anytime soon. I am looking forward to seeing what the new general manager

Overall Grade

C-. The Padres have developed a fair amount of pitching, with Jake Peavy clearly leading the way. They have some players who have become regulars for the Padres, with Chase Headley and Kyle Blanks both looking like they could be very solid players.  Overall though, I am not particularly impressed with the performance of this group of players to this point, but I think that there’s a lot more upside than there has been with some of the previous teams.

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Team Preview – San Diego Padres


Roster Makeup
Lineup Pitching Staff
Pos Name Role Name
C Nick Hundley SP 1 Chris Young
1B Adrian Gonzalez SP 2 Jon Garland
2B David Eckstein SP 3 Kevin Correia
3B Chase Hundley SP 4 Mat Latos
SS Everth Cabrera SP 5 Clayton Richard
LF Kyle Blanks Bullpen
CF Tony Gwynn Jr. CL Heath Bell
RF Will Venable RP Mike Adams
Bench RP Luke Gregerson
OF Scott Hairston RP Edward Mujica
C Yorvit Torrealba RP Joe Thatcher

Additional roster information can be found at MLB Depth Charts.

Off-Season Transactions
Key Additions Key Losses
Pos Name How Pos Name How
SP Jon Garland Free Agency 3B Kevin Kouzmanoff Trade (OAK)
OF Scott Hairston Trade (OAK)
C Yorvit Torrealba Free Agency

Top Prospects: Donavan Tate (OF), Jaff Decker (OF), James Darnell (3B), Simon Castro (P)

2009 Review

The Padres came into 2009 without a lot of expectations. The team was in the process of being sold to new ownership, and they had not spent hardly any money in the offseason. The majority of the offseason was spent listening to rumors about if and when SP Jake Peavy would be traded away from sunny San Diego. The team actually got off to a reasonable start, finishing the month of May at 25-25. Peavy made the Opening Day start, but was nearly traded in May when the Padres and White Sox had agreed to a trade to send him to the South Side. Peavy had a full no-trade clause, and vetoed the trade at this time. Shortly thereafter, he was injured running the bases during a game, and placed on the disabled list in early June. Despite being on the disabled list at the time, the Padres came to an agreement with the White Sox to trade Peavy again at the trade deadline, but this time Peavy accepted the trade to Chicago.

Although the team finished 75-87, good for 4th place in their division, the team outperformed their expected win total by almost 10 wins. There were some bright spots though. 1B Adrian Gonzalez had probably his best season yet, posting a .277 batting average with 40 homeruns and 99 rbi. Free agent signee Kevin Correia pitched well for the Padres, giving them almost 200 innings pitched with a 12-11 record and a 3.91 ERA. The team also received some solid performance from rookie SS Everth Cabrera, who stole 25 bases and scored 59 runs in 103 games. Unfortunately, these performances were not enough, and the ownership decided to fire long time general manager Kevin Towers.

Team Outlook for 2010

The Padres brought in new general manager Jed Hoyer, who had been with the Red Sox for the past few seasons, and are hard at work in their rebuilding process. The biggest story of the offseason remained whether or not the Padres would trade franchise player 1B Adrian Gonzalez and closer Heath Bell. As the season nears its start, it appears to become WHEN they will trade their stars, not if. Both players have very friendly contracts and high levels of production. The team itself seems unlikely to compete for the divsion title this season, as I don’t believe that their pitching staff is good enough to make up for the shortcomings of the rest of their offense. Their power production will be led by OF Kyle Blanks and 3B Chase Headley (in addition to Gonzalez),  but I don’t see them providing enough power for the rest of the lineup, which is unlikely to produce very much power at all. For them to have a chance, their pitching staff will have to carry them a long way.

Fantasy Outlook for 2010

The best players for fantasy on the Padres have to include closer Heath Bell and 1B Adrian Gonzalez. Both are top-10 players at their position, and Gonzalez is really a top-25 player overall. For deeper leagues, SS Everth Cabrera should provide some nice steal totals for his owners, and SP Mat Latos could provide some nice upside as well. Be wary with Latos, as it has already been announced that he will be shut down at 150 innings pitched this season. But those could be some very productive innings even still.

Prediction for 2010

The Padres are realistically only 1 year into their rebuilding efforts, and they should receive some excellent prospects back in return when they do trade Adrian Gonzalez and Heath Bell. Wild guess prediction is that Gonzalez ends up in Chicago with the White Sox, and Bell with the Twins.

65-97, 5th in the NL West

Prospect Review – Jaff Decker – OF – SD


Baseball Reference.Com Profile
Fangraphs Profile

The Basics
Bats: Left
Throws: Left
How Acquired: Drafted in the 1st round (42nd overall) of the 2008 Amateur Draft.
Age: 20

Statistics

2008 – Arizona Padres (Arizona Rookie League – Padres Rookie) – 49 games

  • .352/.523/.541
  • 5 HR, 34 RBI, 9 stolen bases
  • 55 walks, 36 strikeouts

2008 – Eugene (Northwest League – Padres Short-Season A) – 3 games

  • .200/.333/.200
  • 2 walks, 5 strikeouts

2009 – Fort Wayne (Midwest League – Padres Single-A) – 104 games

  • .299/.442/.514
  • 16 HR, 64 RBI, 10 stolen bases
  • 85 walks, 92 strikeouts

Rankings
Baseball America – #4 (SD – 2010)
Baseball Prospectus – #5 (SD – 2009) – 3 star
John Sickels – #4 (SD – 2010) – B

Analysis

Jaff (pronounced Jeff) Decker was drafted in the supplemental round of the 2008 amateur draft, and signed very quickly to get his pro career started. He definitely didn’t disappoint, posting a .352/.523/.541 line with the Padres’ Arizona rookie league team in 49 games. He followed this up with another solid season, posting a .299/.442/.514 line with 16 HR and 64 RBI.

Decker has a very smooth swing, and I have to imagine he will develop more power. While I don’t think he’s going to necessarily be an elite power hitter (think 40+ a season), I could definitely see him being a solid power hitter. A comparison was made to John Kruk (based entirely on his body shape I imagine), but after looking at some of Kruk’s stats, I think this could actually be a pretty decent comparison. Kruk finished with a .300/.397/.446 career line, and based on his average to this point, and was really well known for his plate discipline. Decker’s plate discipline is excellent, as he posted a 18.7% walk rate in 2009. I would want to see him cut down slightly on his strikeouts to really be a good average hitter, but I think that he’ll improve that over time.

Decker has been mentioned to have a bit of a weight problem, as the team asked him to lose weight prior to the start of the 2009 season. As a 19 year old, he was 5’11” and 220 pounds. Obviously a concern to the Padres front office, I can see why this could prove a problem long-term. At 19 years old, he’s unlikely to be done growing, both due to age, and also due to more conditioning and weight-lifting that is likely as he goes through the minors.

From the same article: “I’ve always been big,” said Decker, who signed for $892,000 after the Padres drafted him 42nd overall. “I can slim down a little bit, but I’ve always been like this, and it’s never held me back from succeeding. It’s just I’ve always had a little extra (weight). My dad’s a big guy. He’s not fat, but he’s just big-chested, with big shoulders.”

Decker spent nearly the entire season playing left field, and that seems likely to be his position long-term as well. This actually bodes well for Decker in my opinion, as the Padres are really very thin in the outfield. At the Majors, they have Kyle Blanks playing LF, mostly because they have Adrian Gonzalez at 1B. Most of the minor league options appear to be either even farther away than Decker, or with a much lower ceiling.

Outlook

Decker is still probably at least 3 years away in my opinion, especially since the Padres really have no good reasons to rush Decker through the system. I really like his plate discipline, and think he probably develops enough power to have some 20 homer seasons in the Majors. He still profiles as a left fielder, which means his bat is going to need to be that much better to hold down that spot in the Majors. However, I do think his will translate just fine. I think he trends to spend 2010 split between High-A and AA, with 2011 spent at AA, and 2012 at AAA before really earning a shot at the Majors in 2013.

Prediction for 2010

.305/.395/.495, 15 HR, 65 RBI, 8 stolen bases (High-A and AA)

Expected ETA

2013. At which point he’ll still only be 23 years old.

Tomorrow’s Prospect for Review: Jenrry Mejia (P) of the New York Mets